Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.333852 0.389565 0.451912 0.526901 0.614722 0.714404 0.836270
2025-01-05 0.239768 0.310626 0.398753 0.516633 0.670568 0.865298 1.131213
2025-01-12 0.191845 0.266851 0.367088 0.511290 0.714244 0.990946 1.398991
2025-01-19 0.161993 0.238712 0.347409 0.513356 0.761694 1.121753 1.687507
2025-01-26 0.146448 0.226916 0.346881 0.539794 0.844439 1.310681 2.085458
2025-02-02 0.133813 0.216831 0.346352 0.564552 0.926173 1.507209 2.522803
2025-02-09 0.121761 0.205474 0.341577 0.580782 0.995058 1.690969 2.965039
2025-02-16 0.109757 0.192235 0.331503 0.585990 1.044988 1.848350 3.383631
2025-02-23 0.098207 0.178029 0.317622 0.582097 1.077459 1.978302 3.770312
2025-03-02 0.086435 0.161771 0.297876 0.564561 1.081945 2.057058 4.070960
2025-03-09 0.080824 0.156043 0.296311 0.580326 1.150607 2.263681 4.648745
2025-03-16 0.074170 0.147428 0.288162 0.582056 1.191595 2.421210 5.149332
2025-03-23 0.069083 0.141426 0.284656 0.593283 1.254805 2.634901 5.807643
2025-03-30 0.062193 0.130934 0.270986 0.581900 1.269575 2.751007 6.274474
2025-04-06 0.056669 0.122560 0.260557 0.575857 1.294703 2.892115 6.818745
2025-04-13 0.052508 0.116570 0.254378 0.578191 1.338595 3.080349 7.502070
2025-04-20 0.050952 0.116114 0.260099 0.608066 1.449812 3.437561 8.650439
2025-04-27 0.049311 0.115246 0.264761 0.636046 1.560399 3.808716 9.894079
2025-05-04 0.047094 0.112753 0.265379 0.654390 1.649978 4.141357 11.092793
2025-05-11 0.044259 0.108432 0.261171 0.660278 1.709028 4.405842 12.153258
2025-05-18 0.041075 0.102868 0.253304 0.655877 1.740855 4.604693 13.066099
2025-05-25 0.037351 0.095505 0.240147 0.636057 1.729024 4.686471 13.660989
2025-06-01 0.035912 0.093830 0.241121 0.653875 1.822222 5.066569 15.190290